Reading the Tea Leaves.


Three of the national polls that came out Tuesday had Romney up. Three of them have Obama up. What does it all mean?

Here’s Nate Silver:

What to make of this pattern? Not much, I don’t think. On Monday, the national polls did seem to form a nice, tight [...]

Don’t Call It a Comeback. (No, Seriously. Don’t.)

After a viagra no prescription

brutal 12 days in which he hemmorhaged his once-considerable national lead, President Obama got some good news: he’s eked out tiny advantages among likely voters in both the ABC/Washington Post and Politico/GWU polls. Here’s the takeaway from the first poll:

Likely voters give Obama the edge [...]

Nate Silver, Super Genius.

[via New York Magazine]

Like every other blog enthralled with the presidential campaign, we were checking in on FiveThirtyEight several times a day, and linking to the site just as often. The site is run by Nate Silver, a baseball stathead who crunches numbers and spits out eerily accurate prognostications, even though [...]